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Dry Fields, Record Grid: El Niño Puts Telangana’s Water and Power Systems Under Simultaneous Strain

Rashmi NSH by Rashmi NSH
1 hour ago
in Science News
0
With more than half of Telangana's mandals facing drought, borewell pumping has pushed the state's power demand to record levels. (Representative image)

With more than half of Telangana's mandals facing drought, borewell pumping has pushed the state's power demand to record levels. (Representative image)

Telangana has identified 320 of its 621 mandals as drought-hit, and its electricity demand has climbed to a claimed all-time high of 19,892 MW. The two figures describe a single problem: when the rain fails, farmers pump groundwater, and the grid carries the burden.

Droughts in India are usually measured in millimetres of rain and hectares of withered crops. This week Telangana offered another measure: megawatts. On 7 October, Deputy Chief Minister and Energy Minister Mallu Bhatti Vikramarka said the state’s peak electricity demand had reached an all-time high of 19,892 MW, attributing the surge to El Niño. A day earlier, a review chaired by Chief Secretary Sanjay Jaju had concluded that preliminary assessments showed severe drought conditions in 320 mandals across 18 districts — more than half of the state’s 621 mandals.

The two announcements are connected. In a state where a large share of farmland is irrigated by borewells, a weak monsoon shifts water supply from the sky to the aquifer, and the energy needed to lift that water comes from the grid.

How dry was the monsoon?

Telangana’s south-west monsoon, which formally ended on 30 September, was weak by any yardstick. Data from the Telangana State Development Planning Society (TGDPS), reported by Telangana Today on 27 September, recorded 615.3 mm of rain against a normal of 726.7 mm — a 15 per cent shortfall — while the India Meteorological Department’s sub-divisional data to 23 September showed a 20 per cent deficit. News agency IANS put the seasonal deficit at 17 per cent. The series differ in cut-off dates and networks, but all point the same way.

The shortfall was uneven. Sixteen of 33 districts were classified deficient, with Jogulamba Gadwal 39 per cent short, Hanumakonda 34 per cent, Nalgonda 32 per cent, and Warangal and Medchal-Malkajgiri 31 per cent each. Greater Hyderabad and its surrounding municipal zones received 24 per cent less rain than normal. Rainfall was 37 per cent lower than last year’s unusually wet season.

From 235 to 320 mandals

The drought footprint has grown quickly. Officials had earlier identified about 235 mandals with drought-like conditions; the 6 October review raised that to 320, and the government has described even this as preliminary, liable to rise when the Revenue (Disaster Management) department completes its village-level assessment. The Chief Secretary instructed departments — Planning, Revenue, Groundwater, Agriculture, Panchayat Raj and Rural Water Supply — to prepare mandal-specific action plans and to assess conditions against the 12 standard parameters prescribed by the Union government.

Those parameters matter. Under India’s drought-management framework, a declaration is not a judgement on rainfall alone. States must combine rainfall departure and dry-spell length with remote-sensing vegetation indices, soil moisture, sown area and crop-damage assessments before a mandal can be formally notified. Notification unlocks access to state and national disaster-response funds, input subsidies and credit relief, which is why the state plans a comprehensive report by the end of October, followed by a contingency package and a ministerial delegation to New Delhi. An all-party meeting on El Niño is planned, and Chief Minister A. Revanth Reddy will review relief measures next week.

The electricity signal

Telangana’s grid has been setting records all season. The State Load Dispatch Centre logged 19,543 MW on 9 September, narrowly beating March’s 19,506 MW, and on 29 September the southern distribution utility, TGSPDCL, reported its own highest-ever demand of 12,044 MW “amid rising agricultural power requirements”. The new 19,892 MW figure, cited by the Deputy Chief Minister, would exceed September’s peak by roughly 350 MW. NSH has not been able to verify the date or time of the peak against published load-dispatch data, and the minister also referred to demand of “20,000 megawatts” in the same remarks; the figure should therefore be treated as an official claim pending grid records.

What is striking is the timing. Electricity peaks in Telangana have traditionally arrived in March, when rabi irrigation and summer heat coincide. A record in late September or early October suggests that farmers are running pumpsets hard to save kharif crops that the monsoon failed to water — a pattern consistent with the state’s policy of supplying free power to agricultural connections.

What farmers are reporting

On the ground the picture is less orderly than the official assurance of uninterrupted supply. Telangana Today reported on 7 October that farmers in Siddipet and Medak districts say they receive fewer than eight hours of power a day, with irregular timings and low voltage that damages pump motors. Some are renting diesel generators at ₹4,500–6,000 for twelve hours, plus about three litres of diesel an hour, to keep paddy alive. These are farmers’ accounts, carried without a utility response, but they illustrate a familiar dynamic: when the grid is stretched, rural feeders are rationed first.

Why the nexus matters

The water–energy link cuts both ways. Heavy pumping during a drought draws down groundwater just as recharge is weakest, raising the energy needed to lift each litre in subsequent months. Thermal power stations, in turn, need water for cooling, and reservoir-dependent hydropower falls when inflows fail. Urban supply is also exposed: falling levels at the Singur reservoir, which feeds parts of Sangareddy district, have already been reported.

El Niño is unlikely to release its grip soon. International forecasts issued in August and September pointed to a strong event persisting into the 2026–27 northern winter, which typically weakens north-east monsoon rains over the southern peninsula. That makes the coming rabi season the real test: whether reservoirs and aquifers can support a second crop, and whether the grid can absorb a winter–spring peak that may now begin from a higher base.

What should happen next

The immediate priorities are clear enough: drinking-water contingency plans for the worst-hit districts, fodder for livestock, timely notification so that relief and crop insurance claims can proceed, and transparent feeder-level power schedules so that farmers can plan. The structural questions are harder. Telangana has invested heavily in surface irrigation, but much farming still depends on groundwater pumped with free electricity. Shifting drought-prone areas towards less water-intensive crops — the aim of the state agricultural university’s diversification programme announced this week — and expanding solar pumping and micro-irrigation would ease pressure on both aquifers and the grid. A drought declared in megawatts as well as millimetres is a reminder that water policy and energy policy can no longer be planned separately.

–Rashmi Kumari

Key facts

  • Drought: severe conditions identified in 320 of 621 mandals across 18 of 33 districts (review chaired by Chief Secretary Sanjay Jaju, 6 Oct 2026); earlier estimate ~235 mandals
  • Monsoon: 615.3 mm vs 726.7 mm normal (−15%, TGDPS, to 27 Sept); IMD −20% to 23 Sept; 16 districts deficient; Jogulamba Gadwal −39%
  • Power: claimed peak of 19,892 MW (Deputy CM, 7 Oct); previous SLDC record 19,543 MW on 9 Sept 2026
  • Next steps: comprehensive drought report by end-October; contingency package; all-party meeting on El Niño; delegation to the Centre
  • Farmer reports: <8 hours of supply in parts of Siddipet and Medak; generator rentals ₹4,500–6,000 per 12 hours

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Tags: Newshub Oct 26
Rashmi NSH

Rashmi NSH

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